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The Impact Of Inflation On The Manufacturing Sector Of The Nigerian Economy (1981- 2011)
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CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY
Inflation has remained a chronic problem for Nigerian economy for some time. Inflation is not a new wood in the world economy and not out rightly bad, but the case of Nigeria is severe and i t will destabilize the entire economic frame work if it is not properly checked. This problem has brought about reduction of purchasing power discouragement of real investment balance of payment disequilibrium and unemployment.
Inflation in Nigeria can be said to be a direct result of the policies of the country’s government to stimulate a fast rate of economic growth and development since 1951 when it was introduced. Inflation trend since independence shows to distinctive period. Until 1969 we had a single digit inflation and even a negative growth rate in 1963, 1967 and 1968. The year 1975, recorded 33-7 percent indicating the effect of 1974 Udojji salary Awards (Adigun, M.S 1985 “Reviving the Nigeria economyâ€)
The Nigerian economy seemed to have experience moderate inflation prior to the advent of the structural Adjustment programme (SAP) in 1986. Inflation on it own is not bad as studies have shown that there exists a positive relationship between inflation and growth. But the problem lies on a country continuously having high inflation rates. It has been revealed that a close relationship exists between inflation and diminishing growth rate across a variety of inflation ranges. Average growth rates falls slightly as inflation rate across a variety rates more towards 20-25 percent. The growth rate declined more steeply as inflation rates approaches 25-30 percent and growth rates became increasingly negative at a higher rate of inflation (Ogwuma, P.A. 1986; Gains and pains of inflation in the manufacturing sector of the Nigerian economyâ€
Manufacturing involves the conversion of law materials into finished consumer goods or intermediate or producers goods manufacturing creates avenues for employment, helps to boost agriculture, helps to diversify the economy while helping the nation to increase its foreign exchange earnings and enables local labour to acquire skills. The manufacturing sector in Nigeria has passed through four clear stages of development. T
The first was the pre-independence era, when manufacturing was limited to primary processing of simple consumer items by foreign multinational corporations.
The second was the immediate past colonial era of the 1960’s characterized by more vigorous import substitution and the beginning of decline for the export oriented processing of raw materials.
The third stage was the decade of the 1970’s. This was remarkable because of advent of oil and enormous resources it provided for fierce government to investment in manufacturing. This made the government to exercise almost a complete monopoly in the following sub-sectors basic steel production petroleum refining, petrochemicals, liquefied natural gas edible salt machine tools yeast alcohol, fertilizers etc. the period was marked by initiation of the indigenization programme and hence intense
economic activity but poor results since governments attempt at diversification into non-traditional products such as steels, petrochemicals, fertilizers and vehicle assembly yielded little success.
The last phase was the decade of the 1980’s here government revenue fall because of serious decline of oil prices in the world market. This led to the adoption of export promotion strategy and the SAP era beginning from July 1986 has even emphasized this strategy especially as it relates to non-oil exports hence the extension of export promotion incentives of various descriptions (Enu, 1993: the Nigeria economy after structural adjustment programme “problems and prospectsâ€)
CHAPTER ONE -- [Total Page(s) 3]
Page 1 of 3
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ABSRACT - [ Total Page(s): 1 ]This study analyses the linkage between inflation rate and manufacturing sector of the Nigerian economy over the period of (1981-2011). The study used data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). The ordinary least square technique (OLS) was used to specify and examine the relationship between the variables Government expenditure, inflation rate and money supply which are the independent variables and the manufacturing index which is the dependent variable for the first model. The indepe ... Continue reading---
