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Statistical Analysis Of Criminal Offences Recorded In Kuje – Abuja (fct) From 1999 – 2007
[A CASE STUDY OF KUJE POLICE DIVISIONAL HEADQUARTERS, ABUJA]
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1.2 HISTORICAL BACKGROUND OF STUDY
The
Nigeria Police Force had its origin in year 1861. The consul at that
time complained that he had numerous duties among those of the police
trust on him and in 1861 permission was sought from the British consular
guard of 30 men. This was so named because the representative of the
British government was John Becroft. Two years later in 1863, this small
guard was renamed “Hausa Police†consisting of 600 men because of the
enlistment into it of some captured runaway slave at Jebba by it. Worer
R. N. in 1879 the Hausa Police was further enlarged by the recruitment
of more men mainly from the Hausa and was named Hausa constabulary. It
then consisted of 1200 officers and commanded by an Inspector-General of
police. Duty was mainly military in character. Although the men were
expected to perform some civil duties one of such military duties was
the provision of detachment of 8 officers and 251 men for the Arochukwu.
On
January 1st 1896, the Lagos Police Force was created like the Hansa
constabulary. This was the arm. It consisted of a commissioner, two
Assistant Commissioners, a superintendent and quarter master, and 250
other ranks. This force operated mainly in Lagos area, while the
constabulary operated in the north, the detective department was formed
in 1898 and consisted of one superintendent and 14 other ranks from this
grew our present criminal Investigation Department (CID).
Nigeria
became a federal republic on October 1st 1963. The force continued to be
administered on a federal bases as enacted in the Republican
Constitution. The Divisional Police Station in Kuje Area was established
on the 15th August, 1985, as police station is known, most of its
functions are to take charge of criminal offences.
However, some of
the analysis on criminal offenses recorded in Kuje Divisional Police
Station between the year 1999 – 2007 includes house breaking, theft,
armed robbery, bribery and corruption rape etc.
1.3 SCOPE AND COVERAGE
Criminal
statistics data is the collection of data within an area over a period
of time, example daily, weekly, yearly etc. It is important in the sense
that the data used in this project is a criminal data collected from
the Kuje Police Headquarters on the record of criminal offenses recorded
from 1999 – 2007.
1.4 GENERAL AND SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES
The general aim of this study is to estimate the rate of crime and use it to forecast the future condition.
1. To estimate the model concerning crime rate
2.
To test the normality of the model (using normal probability plot) in
order to see if the data can be used for the analysis
3. To forecast the future cases of crime using time series model
4. To suggest the possible means of eradicating crime.
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