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Time Series Analysis On The Rate Of Typhoid Fever Cases In Abia State From 2001-2010
[A CASE STUDY OF ABSUTH]
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1.3 AIMS AND OBJECTIVES
The following are the aims and objectives of this study.
1
To estimate the trend of the disease (typhoid fever) whether it is
increasing or decreasing for this period of 2001-2010.
2 To estimate the seasonal variation of the recorded cases of typhoid fever from 2001-2010.
3 To predict rate of prevalent in future.
1.4 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
This project is significant in the sense that health problem imposed by
typhoid fever in this part of the world makes it a serious health issue
that requires adequate attention and care. This research work will be
of great significance in the following ways:
- This study will
help the hospital management, the state government and the general
public to know the particular months or quarter of the year that were
mostly affected by typhoid fever in order to carryout enlightenment
campaign towards reducing the incidence of the disease.
- If the
trend of reported cases of typhoid fever is found to be on increase, it
will enable the hospital management to put intensify effort towards
applying more preventive measures in order to combat the disease.
1.5 STATEMENT OF HYPOTHESIS
Ho: There is no significant increase in the trend of recorded cases of typhoid fever from 2001-2010
Hi: There is significant increase in the trend of recorded cases of typhoid fever from 2001-2010.
Ho: There is no seasonal variation in the recorded cases of typhoid fever from 2001-2010
Hi: There is seasonal variation in the recorded cases of typhoid fever from 2001-2010.
1.6 SCOPE OF STUDY
This study is designed to cover Aba, the commercial city of Abia state.
Aba is a city and a big trading center in Abia state. It will also
cover a period of ten (10) years (2001-2010).
1.7 LIMITATION OF THE STUDY
The major limitation to this research work was basically on the
collection of data and information is regarded as confidential, besides
there was inadequate asses to the data due to reluctant attitude of the
hospital medical record department to release the data on time as well
as the limited available literature which the researcher was able to lay
her hands on after much time wasted.
1.8 DEFINITION OF TERMS
ANOREXIA: Lack of appetite for food.
SALMONELLA TYPH: This is a bacteria that causes typhoid fever.
PASBARISATION: This is heating milk to a high temperature for a very short time.
PREVALENCE: Is a measure of the frequency of existing disease at a given time.
SALMONELLAE: A tribe of schizomycetes.
SCHIZOMYESTES:A class of vegetable organisms which usually contain no photosynthetic pigmen and reproduce by fusion.
CONTAGIOUS: Is when a disease or infection can be easily passed from one person to another through infection.
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ABSRACT - [ Total Page(s): 1 ]This research work is concerned with the time series analysis on the rate of typhoid fever cases in Abia state from 2001-2010, with Abaia state university teaching hospital Aba as a case study. This survey was carried out using time series analysis to ascertain whether there is a significant increase in the seasonal variation in the reported cases of typhoid fever. Finally, following the inferences drawn from the data collected for the survey, it was discovered that there was a strong seasonal v ... Continue reading---
