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Statistical Analysis Of Criminal Offences Recorded In Benin – Edo State (fct) From 1999 – 2007
[A CASE STUDY OF BENIN POLICE DIVISIONAL HEADQUARTERS, EDO STATE]
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On
January 1st 1896, the Lagos Police Force was created like the Hansa
constabulary. This was the arm. It consisted of a commissioner, two
Assistant Commissioners, a superintendent and quarter master, and 250
other ranks. This force operated mainly in Lagos area, while the
constabulary operated in the north, the detective department was formed
in 1898 and consisted of one superintendent and 14 other ranks from this
grew our present criminal Investigation Department (CID).
Nigeria
became a federal republic on October 1st 1963. The force continued to be
administered on a federal bases as enacted in the Republican
Constitution. The Divisional Police Station in Benin Area was
established on the 15th August, 1985, as police station is known, most
of its functions are to take charge of criminal offences.
However,
some of the analysis on criminal offenses recorded in Benin Divisional
Police Station between the year 1999 – 2007 includes house breaking,
theft, armed robbery, bribery and corruption rape etc.
1.3 SCOPE AND COVERAGE
Criminal
statistics data is the collection of data within an area over a period
of time, example daily, weekly, yearly etc. It is important in the sense
that the data used in this project is a criminal data collected from
the Benin Police Headquarters on the record of criminal offenses
recorded from 1999 – 2007.
1.4 GENERAL AND SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES
The general aim of this study is to estimate the rate of crime and use it to forecast the future condition.
To estimate the model concerning crime rate
To test the normality of the model (using normal probability plot) in order to see if the data can be used for the analysis
To forecast the future cases of crime using time series model
To suggest the possible means of eradicating crime.
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