Time Series Analysis On Marriage Registration In Ilorin, Kwara State
[A CASE STUDY OF MARRIAGE, REGISTRY OF SOCIAL WELFARE, ILORIN]

1.3 STATEMENT OF PROBLEMS 

The problems facing the marriage registry since its constitution are not farfetched. These problems are 

1) Inadequate record: this simply mean that record were kept, but it is not properly and efficiently kept as it is expected.

2) Orientation and enlightment is lacking as regard to marriage registration.

3) In the state, there is crises between the ministry of local government and ministry of social welfare on the issue of who is rightful constituted body to carry out the registration exercise hence its hindering the prosperity of the work.  

Therefore, this study is interested in the actual fact on ground. To see how people have been patronizing the registry for marriage to show us the available data for further statistical analysis.

1.4 AIM AND  OBJECTIVES  OF THE STUDY

1) To determine the relationship between the number of marriages and times

2) To check whether Christmas and New Year festivals have influence on marriage.

3) To predict for further marriages.  

1.5 SIGNIFICANT OF THE STUDY 

The study will provide useful information for effective social and economics planning process for both governmental and non-governmental organization by using the result of the findings such as the knowledge of relationship between the number of marriage and time and the predicted future marriages.

1.6 SCOPE  AND  LIMITATION  OF THE STUDY

Due to the short period of time and resources to carryout this research, the scope of the study was limited to registry marriage, ministry of social welfare, Ilorin, Kwara State.

Marriage registration was fully started throughout the states and local government areas of the Federation in 1999 by marriage registries.

Ministry of social welfare, marriage registry, Ilorin happens to be one of the registries selected for the project in Kwara State as at that year, hence, the study would be for twelve years (2000 – 2011). 

1.7 PROBLEMS  ENCOUNTERED 

To embark on a survey study of this nature was never an easy task. The data I used was collected from marriage registry, ministry of social welfare, Ilorin. Hence I have problem in obtaining my data due to inadequate records kept.

Moreso, I have to adjust to their convenient time before I could collect required data, hence it cost me in terms of money and time.